It’s been a very active morning from the Metroplex to Central Texas, and East Texas will get a fair chance of rain and storms.
As of 10AM:
-A Tornado Watch is in effect until 1PM for the following counties: Anderson, Henderson, Houston, & Van Zandt.
-A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for Hopkins & Rains counties until 11AM.
-A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for ALL of East Texas through Thursday at the latest.
Let’s get right to what the high resolution forecast model is indicating.
NOW through EARLY AFTERNOON:
Showers and storms to gradually increase (Image 2). We’ve been watching rain and storms mainly along I-35, and these will be moving into East Texas. Also, because of the heating of the day, more stronger storms are forecasted to develop. By Noon we can expect more numerous storms in East Texas—and some will likely be severe.
THIS AFTERNOON into EARLY EVENING:
A lot of active weather for us. Rain and storms will be all over East Texas. Strong to severe storms likely, along with very heavy rainfall (Images 3, 4, & 5). Cannot rule out isolated tornadoes, but DAMAGING WINDS will be the main concern with severe weather.
THIS EVENING into EARLY OVERNIGHT:
For this evening, we should begin to see a slight break in the more active weather. Still cannot rule out some stronger t-storms in far northern counties and for Deep East Texas (Images 6 & 7). You’ll note that in Image 7, rain and storm coverage will be going up overnight and into the morning hours.
WEE AM HOURS OF WEDNESDAY to DAYBREAK:
NUMEROUS showers and storms will increase over East Texas (Images 8 & 9). Major flooding concerns in this time period, as well as severe t-storms also. Rounds of heavy rain will occur in this period, with the heaviest toward daybreak Wednesday.
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY:
The morning will be a very wet and stormy commute for just about all of East Texas. Slowly, the axis of rain will transition eastward. However, this keeps our eastern areas (Atlanta/Longview/Marshall/Henderson/Nacogdoches/Carthage/Center/San Augustine/Hemphill/Lufkin/etc.) in the path of increasing flooding concerns. Please be mindful of that. Rain will not exit these areas until late Wednesday afternoon or evening (Images 10 & 11).
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