Weather Talk

Winter weather expected Monday & Tuesday

Timing speeds up, all of East Texas likely to see measurable snow

TYLER, Texas (KETK) - Confidence is now very likely that East Texas will receive a significant snow event. This will be the first in quite a while for our area. Totals could reach 2-3 inches for parts of our area.

A lot has changed in the last 24 hours, so let’s get right to the details on what to expect.

KEY THINGS TO NOTE

1. Cold front arrival has sped up.

2. Winter precipitation starting Monday evening for some areas.

3. A brief period of freezing rain/sleet possible—most areas see a transition from rain to snow.

4. The thaw-out process might take a very long time.

ANALYSIS

Our cold front is already moving through the Northern Plains and into the Central Plains as of Sunday night. Below is the hourly updated look at the surface map.

This is the front that will bring the Arctic airmass to East Texas. Now, we need moisture to transition us from rain Monday evening to snow by early Tuesday AM. While it won’t be much, it will arrive on Monday and lead to our winter weather chances.

OUR FORECAST

Here’s what we are going with. Based off the four key notes I shared earlier.

1. Cold front arrival

The front now arrives by Monday evening. Look for us to reach the lower to mid-50s with increasing clouds. Showers develop quickly after sunset Monday across our central/northern counties. This could start to transition into a winter mix from near DFW to north of I-20.

2. Winter precipitation starting Monday evening

3. A brief period of freezing rain/sleet possible before transition to snow

We see rain start to increase over East Texas through the evening hours. Notice also that temperatures are falling and already near/below freezing north of I-20. This is where our first transition to a brief period of sleet/freezing rain will occur, and then turn to snow. Futurecast has us transitioning to a SLEET/FREEZING RAIN MIXTURE late Monday evening before going to snow by early Tuesday morning (this is in the central/northern counties).

During the early AM hours on Tuesday, winter weather transitions to all snow. This is when the amounts can accumulate. Deep East Texas will transition to the winter weather as the temperatures fall below freezing. Winter weather likely to continue through the morning rush on Tuesday.

4. The thaw-out process might take a very long time

Tuesday morning, snowfall will let up by the midday hours over our southern areas. However, notice temperatures DO NOT GET ABOVE FREEZING during the day. This means the snow will pack in and not melt. Clouds slowly clear out by the afternoon and evening on Tuesday.

A very cold morning comes on Wednesday with all snow/slush becoming ice again. By Wednesday afternoon, we just barely get above freezing for us.

We’re tracking another possible winter system for the latter part of this week (Thursday-Friday). For now, models have varied on that, but we will keep you updated.

SNOW AMOUNTS

This is a big snow event for East Texas. Amounts easily reaching 1-2 inches for a good part of the area, but now some locations could reach 3 inches (and isolated near 4 along the Texas/Louisiana border).

Because of this, a Winter Storm Watch is now active for nearly all of East Texas. Counties not included will likely see a Winter Weather Advisory.

Further updates continues from the East Texas Storm Team as we get closer to this event.

For the latest weather-related delays and closures due to the looming threat of wintry weather, click here. 


Trending Stories

Latest News

  • KETK NBC

  • KFXK Fox 51

  • Friday Football Fever

  • KETK News

  • KFXK Fox 51

  • Friday Football Fever Scoreboard

  • KETK NBC East Texas

    Instagram
  • KFXK Fox51 East Texas

    Instagram
  • MyEastTex Mobile App